8 Nov · 21:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1460
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ruszkiewicz
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1505
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (35)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)