8 Nov · 21:40 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1496
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kukawka
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1338
FormWLLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Kukawka
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)