8 Nov · 22:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1466
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1570
FormLWWWL
39%
61%
⚡ Cover lean · Marud🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 78% (41)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)