8 Nov · 22:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1611
FormWWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Guzik
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1509
FormWWLLW
61%
39%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (62)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)