8 Nov · 22:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1496
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Juzek
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1457
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Juzek stays under total as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H39-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.