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08 Nov · 22:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1503
3-1Final setsKukawka won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1251
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 68%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Kukawka favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Set handicap
Milosz Kukawka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Milosz Kukawka −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Kukawka is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Milosz Kukawkapre 66% → final 92%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKukawka recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games