Lukasz Bernacki vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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08 Nov · 22:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki

ELO 1464

3-1Final setsBernacki won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1517

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 62%. The actual result was Lukasz Bernacki 3-1 — the underdog won.

Lukasz Bernacki — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lukasz Bernacki favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Set handicap

Lukasz Bernacki −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Lukasz Bernacki −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.4

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 34% → final 94%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 61 ptsBernacki recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games