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08 Nov · 22:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DDDawid Dytko
🇵🇱Dawid Dytko
ELO 1438
3-1Final setsDytko won
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1567
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 66%. The actual result was Dawid Dytko 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Dytko is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Dawid Dytkopre 36% → final 85%
Grzegorz Marud ▼
Biggest swing 49 ptsDytko recovered from 36%71 points · 4 games