9 Nov · 00:15 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1251
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1345
FormWLWLL
40%
60%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H26-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-16)