9 Nov · 00:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1465
FormLWLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Sulkowski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1251
FormLLLLL
72%
28%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+214
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+214)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)