Mariusz Baron vs Henryk Tkaczyk — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

09 Nov · 00:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1493

1-3Final setsTkaczyk won

🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk

ELO 1461

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 59%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Henryk Tkaczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 75.5

78 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 56% → final 6%

Henryk Tkaczyk ▼

Biggest swing 54 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games