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09 Nov · 00:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1495
3-0Final setsKukawka won
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1450
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 50%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Sulkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Kukawka is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Sulkowski.

▲ Milosz Kukawkapre 46% → final 94%
Bartosz Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKukawka recovered from 42%54 points · 3 games