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09 Nov · 02:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1457
0-3Final setsTkaczyk won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1461
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bernacki at 62%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Bernacki favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 60% → final 1%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 32%55 points · 3 games