9 Nov · 04:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1631
FormWWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Guzik
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
63%
37%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (62)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)