9 Nov · 03:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DD
🇵🇱Dawid Dytko
ELO 1463
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dytko
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1461
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dytko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.