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09 Nov · 05:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1560
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1734
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 57%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Karol Wisniewskipre 46% → final 88%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsWisniewski recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games