9 Nov · 06:25 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1262
FormLWWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Slawomir
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1464
FormWLLLW
29%
71%
🌟Slawomir rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (27)
Fair odds · Slawomir
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)