9 Nov · 06:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1519
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Sobel
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1282
FormWLLWL
74%
26%
🌟Sobel goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+237
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)