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09 Nov · 06:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1509
3-0Final setsBaron won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1419
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 53%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 50% → final 100%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts46 points · 3 games