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09 Nov · 06:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMaciej Lamer
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1262
3-0Final setsLamer won
ABAleksander Barton
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1136
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Barton at 50%. The actual result was Maciej Lamer 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Aleksander Barton favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Aleksander Barton −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Aleksander Barton −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Lamer is favoured to win, below means Aleksander Barton.

▲ Maciej Lamerpre 54% → final 95%
Aleksander Barton ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts66 points · 3 games