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09 Nov · 06:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1422
3-2Final setsWrobel won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1273
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wrobel at 58%. The actual result was Dariusz Wrobel 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Wrobel favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 76.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 62% → final 99%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 5 games