9 Nov · 08:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1162
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kordaszewski
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1136
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kordaszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.