9 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1422
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lamperski
JL
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1505
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Lamperski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)