9 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1500
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1517
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.