9 Nov · 09:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1145
FormWLLLL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1505
FormLWWLW
17%
83%
🌟Wolny stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~71 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+360
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+360)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)