9 Nov · 09:40 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1418
FormLWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1518
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Sobel goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)