9 Nov · 09:40 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1724
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Sklensky
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1840
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H51-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-13)