9 Nov · 10:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1258
FormLWWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1505
FormLWWLW
25%
75%
🌟Wolny stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+247
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+247)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)