9 Nov · 10:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1548
FormLLWLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1760
FormWWLWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H36-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-26)