9 Nov · 10:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1449
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Myszewski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1459
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.