9 Nov · 17:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1533
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krezel
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1596
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Krezel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)