9 Nov · 13:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)