09 Nov · 12:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1432
3-2Final setsFomin won
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1482
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 59%. The actual result was Yurij Fomin 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.8
Total 74.5
88 points played
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Yurij Fomin is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.
▲ Yurij Fominpre 37% → final 1%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsKurek recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games