9 Nov · 14:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1473
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1482
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H23-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.