9 Nov · 14:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1551
FormLLWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1742
FormWLLLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+191
H2H36-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-27)