9 Nov · 14:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mleczko
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1451
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (28)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.