9 Nov · 16:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1444
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1582
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)