9 Nov · 16:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1504
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sobel
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1500
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Sobel goes over total as favourite 78% (18)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H15-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.