9 Nov · 16:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1510
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pruszkowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1494
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H32-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.