10 Nov · 00:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Michal Kumor
ELO 1488
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kumor
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1465
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kumor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.