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09 Nov · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1265
3-2Final setsPiecowski won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1308
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 55%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Szoltysek favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Szoltysek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 41% → final 95%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsPiecowski recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games