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09 Nov · 19:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1626
1-3Final setsGesiarz won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1583
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 62%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslaw Warzecha favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 73.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 66% → final 1%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsGesiarz recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games