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09 Nov · 20:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1626
3-2Final setsWarzecha won
ASArkadiusz Skupinski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1319
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 68%. The actual result was Miroslaw Warzecha 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslaw Warzecha favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 72.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Skupinski.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 73% → final 96%
Arkadiusz Skupinski ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsWarzecha recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games