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09 Nov · 20:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1394
3-2Final setsZwolinski won
PSPiotr Strus
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1331
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 62%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Strus.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 60% → final 91%
Piotr Strus ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsZwolinski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games