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09 Nov · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1265
3-2Final setsPiecowski won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1312
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 50%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 54% → final 89%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPiecowski recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games