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09 Nov · 22:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1278
2-3Final setsZwolinski won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1388
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 58%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 45% → final 2%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts54 points · 3 games