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← TT Elite Series predictions
09 Nov · 23:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1298
3-2Final setsKowalczyk won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1388
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 62%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 40% → final 94%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 40%71 points · 4 games