10 Nov · 00:40 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1559
FormWLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Marud
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1431
FormLWWWL
64%
36%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 76% (45)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H22-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-21)