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09 Nov · 23:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1285
0-3Final setsZwolinski won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1394
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 57%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 46% → final 22%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsZwolinski recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games