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10 Nov · 00:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1265
1-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1312
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piecowski at 50%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 54% → final 11%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 51 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 44%70 points · 4 games